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How Can I Possibly Vote for Rick Stream for County Executive?
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Maybe this logic sucks, but this is my logic.  When I vote, I ignore my positions on issues.  Instead, I use my vote to advance two objectives:

  1. I want my vote to improve policy towards liberty.
  2. I want my vote to maximize my political power.

A simple test that I ask myself is this: If I vote for A, do I expect resulting policy to be more or less to my liking?  And how should I vote to maximize my power?

Let’s see how this logic plays out in two races: my Congressional District and St. Louis County Executive.

Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District Race

If I vote for Wagner, I expect policy to be less to my liking.  That’s because I think Ann Wagner will win her 2014 re-elect no matter how I vote.  Therefore, a vote for her will be lost in the sea of votes.  Historically, Wagner should get between 60 percent and 65 percent of the vote.  There will be about 282,000 votes cast in her race, so my vote would count for 1 in 176,250.

If I vote against Wagner, I expect she’ll still win, but I might be able eat into her margin.  If that happens, her power and influence in both Missouri and Washington wane.  More of her considerable campaign funds will go to her own re-elections, which means she’ll have less money to buy influence from other Republicans.

To counter that loss of influence, Wagner has a choice: she can move left and hope to pick up support from Democrat voters or she can move right to regain support from liberty voters.

I expect she will do the latter.

Therefore, by voting against Wagner in 2014, I think I will increase my influence, and policy over the next two years will be more to my liking.

St. Louis County Executive Race

Different dynamics prevail in the St. Louis County Executive race. Rick Stream is likely to lose if I, and people like me, vote against him.  Further, I believe that there is a 100 percent chance that either Rick Stream or Steve Stenger will win. So, if Stream loses, Stenger wins. Therefore, I expect St. Louis County policy to be more to my liking if I vote for Rick Stream and less to my liking if I vote for anyone else. Which is why I’m voting for Rick Stream.

You can argue with my logic, but it’s internally consistent.  I can, in good conscious, vote for Bill Slantz for Congress and for Rick Stream for County Executive.  I believe that this combination of votes maximizes my influence, and will improve policy in Congress and St. Louis County.

That’s how I’m optimizing my power in 2014.

  • Ellen Elmore

    I agree 100% with your logic and will vote for Bill Slantz and Rick Stream for the reasons you listed.

    But I doubt anything will move Ann Wagner further to the right. She is too corrupt and doesn’t care what her constituents think. She knows she can’t lose in the second district because she has all the money and all the big names behind her.

  • Dan

    Interesting logic Bill, I like to think that since Rick states he is against the corruption in St Louis. That we have a chance to show up in the County Council chambers after he is elected with carefully crafted points and encourage him to push the policy.

    Whereas Stanger would be more political machine which got St Louis and St Louis city into the mess we are in.

    I want to see less taxes, less regulation, less government intrusion, MORE government accountability (North County municipalities never saw a law they felt compelled to follow, which is the definition of corruption). Rick has the ability and stated desire to stop this corruption which will bring back jobs and a middle class to St Louis…. Lets Leverage Rick instead of dismissing him!

  • Rick

    Another great way to improve policy in Congress is through the Convention of States Project. Check out http://www.conventionofstates.com

    • Bill,

      I am having trouble wrapping my mind around how we “improve liberty” by supporting an individual who:

      a) as chairman of the house budget committee in the MO legislature voted to put the largest tax increase in the history of the state on the ballot as a constitutional amendment, and

      b) took a campaign contribution from an out-of-state company that sells redlight cameras then cast a vote in the legislature for a bill designed to enable the use of redlight cameras across the state.

      Do we consider taking more money from the people to put it in the hands of a few construction companies and local government fifedoms (for “green” bike paths) that stand to benefit an “increase of liberty” or “crony capitalism”? Are the redlight cameras, i.e. “stationary drones”, the government and Streams donors want to put throughout our communities state-wide making us more safe or creating an ability for the government to perform a warrantless search into our cars every time we cross an intersection?

      As far as maximizing your/our political power – I get the feeling that Stream and those in his camp view those of us like you and myself as simple political rubes who can be manipulated to “join forces with them to defeat those evil Democrats” once we have been put in our place after they pull out all stops to defeat our candidates during the primary (where was their call for “unity” when Tony Pousosa was the only candidate up until the last day for filing?). I’ll predict this here today – IF Stream is elected, he will a) listen to you/us, then b) ignore you/us. How can we expect to gain “political power” by becoming a band of clapping seals for the crony capitalists of the Republican establishment from the tables they reserve for us in back of the room once they have “crushed” our liberty/small government movement (Mitch McConnell’s words, not mine)?

      Don’t get me wrong – I’m not endorsing Stenger either, I really don’t see much difference between the two and am pretty much agnostic about this race either way. If it’s real political power you want in St. Louis County, rather than merely “access”, I suggest ignoring the clamour for Stream and focusing your energies like a laser on helping elect Jennifer Bird to the county council. She will be our only real voice of liberty on the council and will hold whomever we elect – be it Stream or Stenger – publicly accountable for their behavior.

      Maybe I’m missing something and just don’t get it. Please explain in more detail here how you expect this to really work.

      Thanks.

      Jim

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