If We Don’t Flip Some Toss-Up States, Romney, Ryan, and the USA Are Screwed

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Choosing Paul Ryan as his running mate was a great Romney move. Looking ahead, Romney sees movement conservatives working hard right up to the election—even if he or his advisors continues to say stupid things.  That was necessary.


But it wasn’t enough to win the election and unseat America’s first anti-American president.  To do that, we must find a way to win over the selfish middle. (I know, writing things like “selfish middle” doesn’t help, but I hate lying to them.)

RealClearPolitics - 2012 Election Maps - Obama vs. Romney Create Your Own Electoral Map

Here’s the reality: the Electoral College, which once favored Republicans, is now the exclusive property of the DNC.  That’s because “moderates,” who vote for candidates promising to give them stuff, have moved into formerly conservative states.  In the map above, Obama needs only 33 electoral votes to win.

Now, take out all the toss-ups by giving the gray states to the candidate currently with the lead in polls in that state:

RealClearPolitics - 2012 Election Maps - No Toss-Ups

If the election were held today, America would be screwed.

It’s possible, perhaps likely, that Romney could win a sizable popular majority and STILL lose an Electoral landslide.

Here’s what we need to do if we don’t want to be the generation that lost America:

  1. Shore up Romney’s lead in the red states like Missouri
  2. Sweep statewide races in red states like Missouri
  3. Ensure a Republican Congress (both houses)
  4. Adopt a toss-up state to work

Here are the toss-up states (electoral votes):

  • Colorado (9)
  • Florida (29)
  • Iowa (6)
  • Nevada (6)
  • New Hampshire (4)
  • North Carolina (15)
  • Ohio (18)
  • Virginia (13)
  • Wisconsin (10)

By “adopting,” here’s what I mean:

  • Choose only ONE state to adopt so you can focus your energy
  • Lobby friends and relatives who live in the state
  • Donate to state candidates in your adopted states hoping they have coattails
  • Comment on newspapers and blogs that focus on your adopted state, even if not directly political
  • Call radio talk shows in your adopted state, using their internet broadcast to listen in
  • Pray

Quite honestly, the Electoral College is stacked heavily against Romney. That means it’s stacked against America’s future, as well.  A landslide for Romney in Missouri won’t help Romney in Florida or Virginia.

Yet we still need to elect Ed Martin, Todd Akin, Shane Scholler, Cole McNary, Peter Kinder and the other Missouri candidates.  We need to elect a solid House delegation. And we need to prevail on statewide and regional referenda.

That’s a lot to do.  And only about 90 days to do it.


You can get involved beginning this Wednesday, August 4, at 4:00 p.m. in Valley Park at the Victory Bus Tour Rally.   All statewide and local candidates will be at the Victory Fieldhouse.  They will making a stop on the Victory Bus Tour and with this being the statewide HQ, it needs to be full!  Please forward this on to everyone you can.

Victory Bus Tour Rally – ALL Statewide and Local Candidates

Wednesday August 15th – 3:45 – 5 pm
Victory Fieldhouse
932A Meramec Station Rd
Fenton, MO 63088

If you’d like to discuss this further, come out to Sky Music Lounge this Thursday, August 16, at 7:00 pm, for the next St. Louis Tea Party After Party. The scheduled topic is Voter Fraud, but we’ll be talking a lot of election strategy, too.

Finally, I need say this:  in 2012, yelling at people, telling them they’re wrong, won’t work.  Sitting the election out because your favorite candidate didn’t win would be like surrendering to the Soviets.  Your children and grandchildren deserve to live as free men and women.  If we lose freedom now, it won’t come back in their lifetimes.  Winning this election might not keep you from the chains of slavery to government, but losing will weld the shackles shut.


Thanks to the Candidates Who Took My Survey

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Thanks, so much, to the candidates who took a moment to respond to my survey.   Here are the results, including the candidates’ verbatim responses.

I will oppose tax credits for private development except for extreme cases, such as recovery from disasters.

Agree 3 100%
Disagree 0 0%
I will reject federal funds that come with strings attached.

Agree 2 67%
Disagree 1 33%
I will resist federal mandates that violate the original intent of the Constitution.

Agree 4 100%
Disagree 0 0%

I will work to reverse Washington’s centralization of power over education.

Agree 4 100%
Disagree 0 0%

Why Are You Running?

Missouri needs a US Senator who isn’t owned by out of state interests, money, power, or influence. I am that candidate.

–Mark Patrick Lodes

Not running until 2014 but just wanted to let you know where I stand. Thanks for all you do.

–John Lamping

I am leaving my seat as a Congressman to run for Senate because the Federal Government has overstepped its constitutional bounds and is spending future generations into debt. I am rated the most conservative Congressman in MO and we need a US Senate with conservatives who are serious about cutting the government back. I am Pro-Life, support traditional marriage and strongly support our Second Amendment rights. www.akin.org. Notes: Q1 &2 are really State level and not Federal Government. I strongly support State’s rights and will work to prevent funding with strings. Q4 we should eliminate the Department of Education.

–Todd Akin

Sending the same political families to DC year after year is not working. Healthcare and insurance for every American is a big issue. I have worked with health insurance over 25 years. Our federal debt is out of control. Small Main Street businesses need the same breaks that big businesses get. We need sound money, our borders secured, and common sense. Career politicians seem to be there to protect their job, not represent the area. It is time to end pensions for elected officials; it should be an honor to serve. It is time for a fresh start.

–Robyn Hamlin



Here’s Why Tax Credits Kill Society

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Tax credits reward particular businesses or developers with tax dollars from the general population.  They concentrate wealth in a few hands.  Tax credits are the way politicians play the market with someone else’s money.

Worse, Republicans are addicted to tax credits

A Missouri House Republican leader told a constituent that his party gives tax dollars to people who “spend it smarter.”  Bill Clinton said the same thing in about 1992.  That means, in the past 20 years, conservative Republicans have come to adopt the Democrat party’s position on redistribution of wealth.

Republicans dominate Missouri’s legislature. In 2011 and 2012, Republicans led efforts to transfer your tax dollars to the hands of private companies and developers.  Grassroots groups around the state rallied to stop them.  Several brave State Senators became heroes of fiscal responsibility by defying their party’s leaders and wealthy developers to thwart corporate welfare schemes.

What supporters of development and historical tax credits fail to grasp is the bad effect the practice has on society. This effect contributes to our dying economy–an economy that’s put more people into poverty than any time since the Johnson administration.

Here’s how it works.  A developer convinces legislators that his idea will help the region, but short-sighted private investors refuse to put their own money at risk to back the venture.  Playing on legislators’ natural egos, the developer essentially cons them into investing our tax dollars.  The result is a gamble with public money–a gamble that loses nine times out of  ten, according The Mackinac Center for Public Policy.

To increase the chances of success, legislators tend to tip the playing field toward the tax credit recipient.  In Missouri last year, legislators tried to give China Hub developers an unfair advantage over other warehouses with legislative language so narrow as to apply only to their favored developer, shutting out owners of 18 million square feet of unused warehouse space.

When these gambles fail, communities suffer. Disadvantaged competitors close shop and move. City and county planners build infrastructure and increase services in anticipation of jobs and commerce from tax credit financed developments.  But 92 percent of the time, the projects fail, leaving communities and businesses holding the bag.  Meanwhile, the private developers walk away and state taxpayers pay the bills.

As you prepare for the August 7 primary in Missouri, look at the people who’ve stood against corporate welfare at the cost of party and  corporate support.  It’s easy for politicians to say “no” to governors from the other party. It’s real statesmanship when legislators buck the party line to do what’s right for the people and the rule of law.

Distrust Adjectives, and the Politicians Who Use Them

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Missouri’s primary is August 7. Missouri’s Republicans now litter the airwaves and in-boxes with smears against their Republican opponents. What strikes me is the weakness of so many of their pitches.


Every political ad is a pitch. It’s a chance to sell an idea and to volunteer as that idea’s champion in some high office. What a noble calling.

Few politicians take that noble path, sadly. Instead, they bully and vilify their opponents–especially their primary opponents.  Anyone paying casual attention to Missouri’s Republican race for Lieutenant Governor could reach only one conclusion: the two worst human beings on the planet are the two leading GOP candidates.

The campaigns sling mud like it’s an Olympic event, but their proxies are even worse.  The Missouri GOP and its network of consultants have stitched together a patchwork of bloggers and broadcasters who seem to have a simple mission: if our guy loses, may the Democrat win.

Opposing this establishment juggernaut is an alliance of amateur activists who imitate the pros, sometimes achieving new levels of vitriol.  Most of these people on all sides of the crossfire are friends of mine.  If not friends, they’re fellow believers in smaller government constrained by a written Constitution whose intents were settled upon ratification and are no longer open to imaginative judicial rewriting.

So, how to choose a candidate?  Well, like everything of value, it takes a little work.

Hemingway said he was taught to “distrust adjectives.”  He was taught well. Politicians use adjectives, not to inform, but to tell you how to feel.  “Strong conservative,” tells you how to feel, not the ideology of the candidate.

But your feelings are your own. Why would you give another person permission to screw with your feelings?

Pay attention to ads.  Ignore the half-truths about “my opponent.”  Count the adjectives that attempt to dictate your feelings.  Vote for the candidate who respects you enough not to tell you how you should feel about him or his opponent.

If a candidate wants to manipulate your feelings, he’ll happily manipulate your wallet.

Just How Bad Would a Second Obama Term Be?

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If you believe that 92 percent of people need to have most aspect of their lives managed by experts, then a second Obama term will make you happy.


If, however, you believe in self-governance, that people are endowed by God and nature with the capacity and unalienable right to manage their own affairs, then a second Obama term will be a massive human rights violation.

Consider what the Obama administration has already brought us:

  • He has appointed bureaucrats to make your medical decisions
  • He has given himself the sole authority to strike down laws passed by Congress
  • He has taken upon himself the authority to create laws that Congress specifically refused to pass
  • He has deployed drones to spy on Americans without a warrant
  • He has denied private companies the permission to seek and recover fuel
  • He has encouraged violence against the hardest working Americans
  • He has encouraged illegal aliens to steal our things
  • He has disparaged the Constitution as “fundamental flawed document”
  • He has seized control of private companies
  • He has damaged America’s credit rating
  • He has exploited racial tension for his own advantage
  • He has undermined small business

So, how bad would a second Obama term be?  Frankly, I think it would end the United States of America has we know it.

The Election’s Over, and the Republicans Got Creamed. Here’s What Went Wrong

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November 7, 2012—When the AP called Florida for Obama only twenty minutes after polls closed there (8:00 EDT), any hopes of a Republican presidential victory were dashed.


And before polls closed in the West, we knew that the GOP had lost the House as well as seven state legislatures.

In short, the Grand Old Party died last night.

Here’s what went wrong.

Wrong Candidate at the Top:  When Republicans run the candidate the liberal press wants them to run, they get creamed. That’s because the malleable voters—people who are somewhat politically aware, but lack any core philosophy of government—won’t vote for a moderate Republican. They proved this in 1976, 1992, 1996, 2008, and, alas, 2012.

When the GOP nominate candidates accused of being “too conservative,” compared to their Democrat opponent, they win:  Reagan 1980 and 1984, Bush 1988, W 2000 and 2004.

Republican primary voters who voted for the “safe” candidate (most likely to beat Obama), might as well have voted for a unicorn. These voters took the mainstream media’s word for it, and they got screwed.

Wrong Campaign:  Taking its lead from the top, and from  so-called experts, the GOP decided to make the race about the headlines of the day – the “issues”—instead of campaigning on “America: the way it ought to be.”

Only idiots vote on issues of the day.  That’s because every candidate who appeals to voters’ views on issues simply parrots the latest opinion polls. In other words, they lie.  And issues-voters believe the most outlandish lies. That’s how Obama won over the moderates.

Issues campaigns will always favor Democrats, because Democrats offer bigger bribes to more people than the Republicans. And issues-voters couldn’t give a rat’s hind end for the country. They want handouts, freebies, largesse, and cases of condoms.

So the Republicans, afraid to take on Obama’s totalitarian absolutist ideology, decided to scan the New York Times and talk about whatever bur happened to get under Paul Krugmans’ saddle that day.

(The party that replaces the GOP had better take this lesson to heart.)

Good Money After Bad: Once it became clear that the GOP presidential candidate was dead in the water (in May), the money and effort should have been redirected away from the White House and toward, in this order, the Senate, key House districts, State Houses and Governors, up-and-coming conservative stars in smaller offices, and effective grassroots groups.

For decades, the GOP, conservative billionaires, conservative PACs, and conservatives in general, have refused to pay money to build a strong bench.  Taking cues from failed business models, the right places huge bets on two or three favorites.  When they hit the trifecta, the GOP rules for a couple of election cycles.

Usually, though, they don’t hit the trifecta.

When conservatives get creamed at the polls, they immediately start looking for the next Reagan.  Well, Reagan’s dead, and he ain’t coming back.  And if he did, he’d tell conservatives to stop betting on the races and, instead, start a horse farm.

What Now?: Obama will probably get to fill another vacancy on the Supreme Court, and this time it will be a hole left by a conservative justice.  The new leftist court will look for cases that allow it to obliterate any notion of limited government.  Amendments 1, 2, and 4 will join the 10th as political anachronisms in the dust bin of history.

The Republican Party will decay as Libertarians and Christian Conservatives form their own parties and fight over the fiscal conservatives.

The old Tea Parties might come back to life in a few locations.  They may even become real parties and run real candidates until the Justice Department shuts them down as subversive organizations—a new rule dictated by Obama and endorsed by his Courts.

In other words, that sun carving on George Washington’s chair at the Constitutional Convention—the one Ben Franklin talked about—is now a setting sun.

Reality Check:  It’s really April 11.  This was a Pre-Mortem.  We have seven months to create a different outcome.  But, right now, the Ghost of Tyrannies Yet to come is pointing his bony finger toward a dilapidated tombstone that marks the grave of a republic born July 4, 1776.

One way to start changing history: attend The After Party on April 19 at Crowne Plaza Grille in Clayton.