It's going to be okay
[Stream of consciousness. Please forgive errors and craziness.] The human brain is very bad at looking to the future. It’s almost impossible to imagine a living person not being here. We naturally assume the future will be a linear progression of the recent past. Then one of five conservative Supreme Court justices dies. And everything’s …
The 3 million McCain voter who didn’t vote for Romney didn’t stay and they didn’t vote third party. They died. To survive, the GOP needs to stop being afraid of Millennials and tell them truth: they can move out of mom and dad’s house, they can drop out of school, they can quit their dead-end job with the idiot supervisor. But they can’t get away from government and debt.
We heard it repeatedly during the Iraq wars: air power alone cannot win. You must take and hold ground in war. The same is true in political combat. For years the GOP upset Democrats at all levels through superior ground games. Typically, this process involves: Identifying potential voters Contacting the high-value targets Registering the unregistered …
Voter turnout was down in every state from 2008. In many states, turnout was lower than 2004. Thanks for responding.
Consider these numbers: 9.8 million 11.6 million 16.8 million 55% 61% Between the 2008 and 2012 elections: 9.8 million people died*, 55% of them were reliable Republican voters 16.8 11.6 million people reached voting age–61% of them are semi-reliable Democrat voters Between those years, neither the GOP nor conservative leaning organizations did anything significant to deal …
Yes, I’m feeling a wave toward Romney. My gut tells me this year is a lot like 1980. 1980 Was A Dead Heat The final Gallup poll that year had a dead heat. Time Magazine’s November 3, 1980, called the race a dead heat. So did Newsweek. The press was hoping John B. Anderson, a …
Here’s What To Do Today And On Election Day Tuesday is the most important election of your life, but voting is never enough. You can have a bigger impact by using social proof to increase your influence. I’ll tell you how, and it won’t take you long. First, though, make sure nothing gets in the …
I Endorse Ed Martin Dear Friends, This is an email to encourage you to remember to do all you can to get Ed Martin elected Attorney General of Missouri. I know there are a lot of races and it is easy sometimes to overlook some of the down-ticket offices. But the Attorney General is an …
Please forward this post to everyone in your email address book. Use the buttons below to share on Twitter, Facebook, LinkedIn, StumbleUpon, Reddit. Tell your family that their vote for Ed Martin for Attorney General is your best defense against a Washington power machine run amok. Ed Martin’s opponent doesn’t seem to realize that the …
Gallup released its early voting poll today, and it shows Mitt Romney winning 52% to 45%—right in line with their Likely Voter poll numbers. Here’s the chart. Politico Reporter Can’t Read But Gallup’s section on early voting by party ID completely lost Politico’s Kevin Robillard. Robillard looked at the chart that shows when voters intend …
Nate Silver publishes a daily number that represents Barack Obama’s chances of being re-elected. As I write this on October 27, Silver’s magic number is 74%. Nate Silver explains his scientific approach to picking winners in elections.
The fog of war is lifting from Benghazi, and what lies beneath should shame Obama’s most ardent supporters. Barack Obama choked, and Americans died. When America came under attack, Obama panicked and froze. When Americans under his direction pleaded for their lives, he was afraid to pull the trigger. Here’s the emerging picture. White House …
A lot of people want to know how to vote on the ballot measures and major offices in 2 weeks. Here’s how I’m voting, and why. Ballot Measures YES on Amendment 3: Change to Judge Appointments Better Courts for Missouri helped promote this measure to arrest the leftward list of appointments. The ballot language is …
Polls do influence elections. That’s why people like Nate Silver and some of the writers at Business Insider are doing somersaults over Gallup’s Daily Presidential Tracking numbers. For over a week, Gallup has shown a tidal wave for support for Mitt Romney. Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight tried to discredit Gallup by blogging about outlier results …
Robin Carnahan, the Democrat Missouri Secretary of State, writes ballot language like the editorial page editor of the Post-Dispatch. Carnahan wrote, perhaps, the most biased and unprofessional ballot initiative ever written regarding Proposition E. She wanted you to think that Proposition E would outlaw all insurance in the state of Missouri and compel pet owners …