Don’t Expect Boehner To Play The Black Knight

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The GOP didn’t really have a plan in place in case it lost. It certainly didn’t have a plan for getting snotclobbered. And if you try to spin Tuesday’s results as anything less than a good old-fashioned ass-kicking, you’re deluding yourself.

Black-Knight

Republicans Got Creamed

I know Michelle Malkin found 20 things that went right on election night, but there about 60 million things that went wrong. Let’s take a look:

  • Obama was re-elected handily in a terrible economy with American prestige at its lowest level since Carter’s administration
  • Republicans lost ground in the Senate despite a huge number of open seats and unpopular Democrats (McCaskill)
  • Stupid comments by Senate candidates set back the pro-life movement 20 years
  • In Missouri, Republicans lost every statewide race except Lieutenant Governor
  • Liberal ballot initiatives dominated
  • Conservative turnout was low except for Evangelicals
  • Conservative mega-donors broke the bank on this election and came up less than empty

Boehner Told House Republicans There Will Be No Fiscal Cliff Fight

Considering all this, it comes as no surprise that John Boehner told House Republicans that there will be no death match over the Fiscal Cliff.

Their party lost, badly, Mr. Boehner said, and while Republicans would still control the House and would continue to staunchly oppose tax rate increases as Congress grapples with the impending fiscal battle, they had to avoid the nasty showdowns that marked so much of the last two years. (source: NYTimes)

That’s a bitter pill for Tea Partiers and conservatives, but it’s probably unavoidable.

Mitt Romney and many other Republican candidates for federal offices campaigned without any big ideas for people to champion. They made the election about policy differences, and the status quo won.

You can say that bitter fights over debt and budgets are part of that status quo. You’d be missing the point, which is this:

The only card in Boehner’s hand is shutting down the government. Voters—even some who voted for Romney—would see that as a repudiation of the election and the people, not of Obama. Boehner would look like the Black Knight in Monty Python And The Holy Grail.

There’s a chance, of course, that Obama would cave and hand the Republicans a victory. But there’ a good chance the subsequent unemployment, the stock plunge, the recession, and the starvation horror stories would land squarely on Republican shoulders. (Do you think media would see an Obama capitulation as anything but statesmanlike sacrifice to help the most vulnerable?)

Republicans simply won’t take the chance that 2014 will be a referendum on government shutdowns by a party that just got its ass handed to it on Nate Silver platter.

Game Theory and History Help Explain

Here’s a SlideShare I’ve put together to explain the Republican position. I looked back at Reagan’s 1981 budget battle with Congressional Democrats.

Pay attention to how that battle turned out. (Best viewed full screen)

Bottom Line: The Republicans cannot choose a strategy first. They must force Democrats to make the first move.

5 Things to Question About Debt Deal

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Yes, the Tea Party movement influenced what went on in Washington. 

No, the Tea Party is not the winner.  (No one won.)

No, this debt deal won’t guide the government off the road toward bankruptcy.  Here’s why.

1.  No Entitlement Fix:  In fact, it appears that entitlements aren’t touched.  Entitlements are the nation’s spending problem.  Not roads and bridges, not the military.  Entitlements. Until we arrest and reverse growth in Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid, we’re spitting in the ocean.

2.  Military Spending Won’t Be Cut:  Remember the “peace dividend” after the Berlin Wall fell?  Then Saddam invaded Iraq.  Obama and the Dems know damn well that Republicans will forgive them for ignoring planned military cuts as soon as some threat appears on the horizon.  And there’s always a threat.  These cuts, if implemented, will be quickly reversed.

3.  Cuts Are Someone Else’s Problem:  The cuts don’t start until we have a new Congress and a new President. That’s asking a future generation to fix yesterday’s problems.  That’s cowardice and irresponsibility.  And it’s perfectly Establishment. 

4.  Won’t Save Credit Rating (Unless Moody’s Was Lying):  Moody’s reported on Friday that none of the proposed bills would solve the nation’s long-term debt problem.  If we’re going to lose AAA, why not use that trauma as the impetus for real financial reform?  Instead, we’re kicking the can down the road to save the President and Establishment Republicans.

5.  Favors the Establishment:  Most importantly, this bill demonstrates the problem with Establishment politicians: they’re first duty (they believe) is to their next election.  Boehner abandoned his party’s principled members and crafted a deal to win over some Democrats.  That might protect him and Obama.  The taxpayer—especially Millennials and younger—get screwed.

Question the Establishment, kids.  It is not your friend.

At Last, Obama’s Ready to Borrow More Money from China

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The headline on July 15 was knee-slapping funny:

Obama says he’s “ready to move” on debt ceiling.

Really?  The man who dug a deeper debt hole in two years than anyone else did in 8—or 15—is willing to borrow more?

12716Say it ain’t so.

For those who believe Obama’s some sort of deficit hawk, let’s take a quick stroll down memory.

  1. Obama wanted to increase the debt limit by $2.5 trillion in April, and he want no conditions on that increase.  In April 2011, Barack Obama opposed any measures to reduce federal spending.
  2. Obama refused to produce a plan. Period. He has no plan for reducing debt. He has no plan for eliminating deficits. He has no plan for creating jobs or helping small business.  He has no plan for anything but golf and party.

3.  Obama says 80 percent of Americans demand a tax increase, though he is incapable of citing any source for that number. In other words, he made it up.

Of course Obama’s ready to move on borrowing more money.  Borrowing is his only plan. His credit card is maxed out, and he wants the limit raised.

Only, this time, there are men and women in Congress who more beholden to the Millennial generation than to Boomers. Like a good banker, this Congress wants the borrower to produce a debt reduction plan before lending another penny.

I’m glad Obama’s finally ready to move on something besides a tee box.  But I won’t be completely satisfied until he moves out of 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue.

80 Percent of Americans Read This Blog Every Day

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I’ll be honest with you: I’ve lied.

Usually out of desperation. I’ve lied to those closest to me—those most willing to forgive the thing I lied about. 

I’ve also told the truth to my own detriment.  In the long run, the latter works best. In fact, telling the truth works best in the short run, too.

So maybe Obama’s desperate. Maybe he knows that the debt ceiling debate is the beginning of the unraveling of Americum Sovieticum, his life-long dream. In desperation, then, he’s simply making stuff up.

How do I know Obama’s lying?

obama_big_lie-505x378The last time 80 percent of America agreed on something, the question was whether or not to get baby Jessica McClure out of the well. So when I hear that 80 percent of Americans support something, I assume it involves human life.

But somewhere, somehow, Barack Obama has found data revealing that 80 percent of Americans want—demand—a tax increase.

For the life of me, I cannot find these people.

I can find this Rasmussen poll indicating that 55 percent oppose a tax increase as part of a debt ceiling package.

I can also find a Gallup poll that finds only 32 percent would agree to tax increases as part of a deal.

Maybe the President saw this Quinnipiac University poll – with a questioned designed to elicit a particular response.  The question enticed 62 percent of 2,311 registered voters to accept some taxes on the wealthiest Americans. 

So, perhaps, Obama merely took that 62 and round up to the nearest . . . 80?

But there’s also the media defensive panic.

When conservative presidents are caught lying or being morons, conservatives tend to admit, well, maybe he shouldn’t have said “mission accomplished.” 

When leftists find their leftist president being a deceitful dolt, they obfuscate.  Huffington Post, New York Times—all the usual suspects—have scrubbed their sites of references to the President’s lie. (At least, my searches found nothing.  Then, again, I try to not to spend too much time on those sites.)

Instead, the left talks about this being the time to bring taxes into the equation.

Two people who get it . . . clearly:  Mark Steyn and Charles Krauthammer. 

Steyn, as usual, picks apart the stupid in “No Bargaining With Obluffer.”

Krauthammer destroys Obama’s credibility by pointing to Obama’s long and recent history of demanding more debt at any cost.

How about last December, when he ignored his own debt commission’s recommendations? How about February, when he presented a budget that increases debt by $10 trillion over the next decade? How about April, when he sought a debt-ceiling increase with zero debt reduction attached?

All of a sudden he’s a born-again budget balancer prepared to bravely take on his own party by making deep cuts in entitlements. Really? Name one.

So I lied again.  Eighty percent of Americans don’t read Hennessy’s View every day.  Not yet, anyway.

Gimme More Money or Granny Gets It!

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Obama showed his breaking point today. The stress got to him.

Today Obama threatened to stop Social Security payments if Congress doesn’t bend to his will on the debt ceiling.

The president told reporters that there may not be enough money to pay Social Security benefits on and after August 3rd. 

But the President lies.

Revenue from taxes and other fees would cover Social Security and other payments. What won’t be covered is additional borrowing to service the country’s already outrageous debt. 

In desperation, Obama put a gun to the heads of the elderly.

Smart. Very smart.

Jefferson on Debt

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With the debt ceiling negotiations closing in, it’s worth looking to Thomas Jefferson.

ThomasJefferson250

Jefferson was very opposed to federal government borrowing.  (He was less concerned with states borrowing.)  What I love about the quote below is Jefferson’s concern for leisure time. 

"To preserve [the] independence [of the people,] we must not let our rulers load us with perpetual debt. We must make our election between economy and liberty, or profusion and servitude. If we run into such debts as that we must be taxed in our meat and in our drink, in our necessaries and our comforts, in our labors and our amusements, for our callings and our creeds, as the people of England are, our people, like them, must come to labor sixteen hours in the twenty-four, give the earnings of fifteen of these to the government for their debts and daily expenses, and the sixteenth being insufficient to afford us bread, we must live, as they now do, on oatmeal and potatoes, have no time to think, no means of calling the mismanagers to account, but be glad to obtain subsistence by hiring ourselves to rivet their chains on the necks of our fellow-sufferers . [emphasis added]"

–Thomas Jefferson to Samuel Kercheval, 1816. ME 15:39

Pay a mortgage? Have student loans? Make a car payment?  Then you might know what Jefferson was talking about.  Debt limits your freedom. You work to pay off the debt, not to live a better life. While you might be perfectly happy selling sea shells you hunted and painted by hand, you cannot. You must work for the man to earn the wage to repay the debts.

These obligations, of course, are your own. If you feel trapped by debt, you trapped yourself.

Government debt, however, enslaves us just as surely. Yet we had little choice in the matter. In many cases, we opposed the borrowing that now forces us to labor.  Our children were born into this financial slavery, and their children will be. 

Free the children.