2018 will change American culture at its core

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If you’re wondering how things will change in 2018, you might think back the mid-1980s.

In the 1980s, leftist professors, leftist news media, and leftist entertainers were angry. For years, they’d preached that Ronald Reagan was a neo-Nazi buffoon whose incompetence and malice would destroy America. Maybe even wipe out the human species. “I believe Ronald Reagan can turn America back into what it once was,” said comedian Steve Martin on Saturday Night Live in 1980, “a vast wasteland covered with ice.”

By 1986, though, the left’s dire predictions were ruined. Unemployment was low. Gasoline was under $1 a gallon in many places. The Iron Curtain showed signs of cracking. Stocks were soaring. Ronald Reagan was re-elected in one of the largest landslides ever. It was Morning in America.

So what did the left do? Did they grudgingly admit their errors? Did the credit Ronald Reagan for America’s miraculous turnaround?

Of course not. These are leftists we’re talking about. Admitting error takes character, a quality prohibited on the left.

Instead, the left found alternative heroes. The left created a narrative to explain America’s resurgence in which Reagan became the beneficiary of other people’s efforts.

Those other people: American workers.

In the left’s view, the American worker recognized Reagan’s wicked ineptness and took the country on its shoulders. Blue collar heroes sacrificed and scratched to remake America in spite of Reagan’s terrible, awful policies and blundering, dangerous style. Ted Turner made friends with the Soviet Union, conducting his own foreign policy to save the world.

This narrative preserved the left’s biases while explaining Morning in America. The left was wrong, but they didn’t mind. Their hallucinations, their self-images, were intact.

Look ahead to 2018, now. The US economy is poised to explode never before since Reagan. There’s a possibility of 7%+ GDP growth in at least one quarter of 2018. The Dow Jones Industrial Average could double by years end, approaching 50,000.

Will Democrats and the media credit Trump?

If you answered “yes” or hesitated in answering “no,” you don’t understand the leftist mind. The left will never admit Trump made America great again.

Instead, they’ll create an alternative explanation for surging American greatness. That explanation will be the same one they used in 1986: the American worker.

Here’s how 2018 will play out:

  1. President Trump will work with Democrats to hammer out an enormous infrastructure bill. Democrats will go along because they need votes in November. They’ll see the infrastructure bill as a way of driving a wedge between the president and the House Freedom Caucus while giving Democrat incumbents a bragging point in their districts.
  2. The tax reform bill will fuel a late-spring, early-summer rally like you’ve never seen before. Employers will complain about a huge, historic shortage of quality labor and about the rapidly rising wage problem. (Yes, wage growth will officially become a problem in May 2018, when Krugman declares “wages are out of control.”)
  3. The Justice Department will begin anti-trust investigations of Amazon, Google, Facebook, Apple, and Microsoft as both conservatives and leftists attack Silicon Valley’s unchecked power and abuses.
  4. By late summer and early fall, economists will project 2018’s economy to one of the best on record.
  5. By early fall, the infrastructure bill passed early in 2018 will see a slew of new construction across the country. People will take note of all the cranes on America’s skyline. They’ll complain about highway construction as commutes and road trips grow longer.
  6. Just before the 2018 elections, the left will need a new narrative to explain American greatness. That new narrative: America’s workers.

What will this narrative look like?

Bon Jovi and Bruce Springsteen’s working-class music will return with a vengeance. But a new blue-collar music star will emerge. Movies and television shows worshipping blue collar workers will premiere. (Trump fan Rosanne returns in the fall.)

Economists will explain how labor turned America around despite Trump’s malicious ineptness. Specifically, how American consumers decided to stop paying down debt and start living a little after recovering from the post-financial crisis trauma. These economists will carefully explain that Trump’s policies of lower taxes, less regulation, and strong foreign policy, actually hindered economic growth.

Feminists will tell us that successful women can best express their feminity by choosing a blue-collar mate. (Seriously, this will happen.) Meanwhile, anti-Trump and NeverTrump pundits will warn that both America’s economic resurgence and its growing popular support for President Trump (above 50% by the end of summer) are “a mile wide and an inch deep.”

Of course, many things could derail all this. There’s North Korea and Iran. There’s Russia. There’s China. There’s Bob Mueller. But those are all low-probability risks. And even if one of those risks materializes, we can’t be sure whether it will help or hurt the scenario I’ve just laid out.

In the end, 2018 will be seen by most American voters as the year things turned around in America. Just like 1984. The change will be broad and deep, affecting education, entertainment, news, fashion, marriage rates (rising), birth rates (rising), and attitudes.

How much credit belongs to Trump will never be settled. But the truth will lie somewhere between the narratives offered by Trump’s strongest critics and his strongest supporters.

We are entering the second half of the Fourth Turning. Trump was as much a result of the cycles of history as a catalyst. But without his style and substance, the enormous social change sweeping America could not have happened.

Tomorrow, we’ll look deeper into that Fourth Turning prophecy. For now, think about how your life will change with growing wages, a retreat from technomania, and a revitalization of both American manufacturing and blue collar workers. You might like what you see.

Trump Instigates NFL Labor Dispute

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Yesterday, I predicted the NFL would suffer a season-shortening labor dispute this season or next.

The reason: President Trump’s pressure on owners to crack down on anthem haters will stir up a fight between NFL Players Association and the owners.

As if on cue:

President Trump, in an exclusive interview with “Fox & Friends,” said that NFL owners are “afraid” to act against their players protesting the national anthem at games across the country.

“The NFL is in a box and they have to do something about it,” Trump told Fox News’ Pete Hegseth, in the interview aired Thursday morning.

Trump essentially questioned the owners’ manhood. The owners are wealthy business people. Huge egos. Extremely competitive. They will not resist Trump’s challenge.

Watch for two things before Sunday:

  1. Several owners will break with their teams and the league by threatening to fine or fire any player who refuses to stand for the national anthem.
  2. The NFLPA will issue a statement threatening to strike if any player is fined or fired for disrespecting the flag.

Healing won’t begin until all the pus is out of the zit.

NFL Losing a Laugher (Video)

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Blowout. Embarrassment. Lopsided. Laugher.

Humiliation.

Fans are doing to the NFL what Ray Rice did to his girlfriend in that elevator.

Bars are banning football.

The VFW has condemned the NFL. 

Fans are burning jerseys.

American Sniper’s widow livid.

Viewership is down 11% year-over-year.

Fans boo players they recognize.

Baltimore fans demanding Ray Lewis statue come down like he’s General Lee.

Major NFL sponsors are under increasing pressure to pull ads.

The anthem-haters are becoming the biggest sports PR disaster since the Black Sox scandal.

Up Next for the NFL: labor dispute will shorten either 2017 or 2018 season, or both. Owners will take a stand against anthem protests. Players’ union will object. All hell will break loose.

Pass the popcorn. Trump is #winning. 

 

 

NFL Hates Football Fans; Fire Them All

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You can see the battle brewing. It’s coming to a head. And no one is telling you the real reason the NFL is dying before your eyes.

Everyone sees the symptoms of football’s death spiral:  empty stadiums. Crashed ratings. low quality. Criminals on the field. Some people call it “the National Felony League.”

Frustrated fans look for better entertainment. Ticket sales remain high for one reason: stupid corporate executives. Stupid executives think it’s still a status symbol to control lots of NFL tickets. It’s not. Holding a lot of NFL tickets is a sign of stupidity. This isn’t 1999, folks. American sports fans have moved on.

[Breitbart: 34% Less Likely to Watch NFL Because of Anthem Protests]

But none of that gets to the reason for football’s demise.

The NFL’s Real Problem

The real reason for football’s demise is complicated. Inferior quality of play is one. Terrible officiating another. And the league’s stupid rules. Too many pads that become weapons. Outrageous prices designed to drive away retail fans and attract that corporate executives and their tax-free marketing dollars.

Those are reasons. But they’re not the main reason for football’s collapse.

The main reason is more human. Football’s death spiral is all about the players and owners. And the fans.

Television ratings for the NFL have been slipping since the beginning of the 2016 season. The league and observers have blamed a combination of factors, including competing coverage of last year’s presidential election, more viewers dropping cable television, fans’ discomfort with the reports of head trauma and the anthem protests.” —CBS, Boston

And it’s a sad story that reflects the divisions throughout the country.

The NFL is dying because NFL insiders despise NFL fans. The players hate their fans. The owners hate their fans. The sponsors hate the fans. And the fans can sense it.

You know’s the epitome of the NFL fan? Donald J. Trump.

I Can’t Stop Laughing at This Line

“Get that son of a bitch off the field right now . . .” —President Donald J. Trump in Huntsville, Alabama

“Wouldn’t you love to see one of these NFL owners,” President Trump told 20,000+ roaring fans in Huntsville, Alabama last night,  “when somebody disrespects our flag, to say ‘get that son of a bitch off the field right now. Out. He’s fired. He’s FIRED!'”

That’s the line everybody remembers. The line everybody loves. The vulgarity. The emotion. The voice of the voters who elected him. Perfectly delivered. Perfectly summarized. A perfect takedown of NFL flag desecrators and their owners.

Players and Owners Hate Their Fans

Ever since failed quarterback Colin Kaepernick first took a knee to show is disdain for the country that made him a millionaire, some NFL players have made it clear: their values are not their fans’ values.

NFL owners, meanwhile, have been afraid to deal with their players’ contempt for the fans and the country.

But the people know. People know.

Our brains are wired to recognize contempt in others. We can see it. We can smell it. Our brains detect even the tiniest sign of contempt. Because contempt is a potential threat. And our survival as individuals and as a species requires early, reliable threat detection.

When NFL ratings and attendance began their decline last year, you can bet a major part of that decline stems from our brain’s remarkable ability to detect a threat. A threat posed by the players who hate their fans. Hate their fans’ values.

Trump Exposed NFL’s Contempt for Americans

Well, President Trump brought the players’ contempt to a head. Immediately after the president’s remarks, NFL players and even NFL commissioner Goodell, took to Twitter to express just how much they despise their fans in places like Huntsville, Alabama.

Former player Shaun King and others weighed in. Their brainless, selfish, anti-fan, anti-American tweets don’t deserve space on my blog.

Americans have no reason to support the NFL any longer. The commissioner and the owners have taken their stand. Or, I should say, have taken their seat. They’ve taken a seat to show their contempt for the flag, the country, our president, and their fans.

You Can Live Without Football

I did not watch a single NFL game last year unless football was the only thing on in a public bar or whatever. You can do the same. And, judging from this tweet, a lot of people stayed away from the Rams-49ers game on Thursday.

Look at that empty stadium. For a rivalry game!

I was a St. Louis Cardinals football season ticket holder. I played high school football. I loved my great football heroes like Jackie Smith, Ottis Anderson, Terry Bradshaw, Lynn Swann, Franco Harris, Jim Hart, Dan Dierdorf, Conrad Dobler. (I’ll stop there. Too many to name them all.)

The Greatest Show on Turf era in St. Louis gave us so many great, lifelong memories. Football is such a great sport.

But the greed of the owners and players, the cowardice of their corporate sponsors, and the politicization of the game by players and owners alike has made football a disease to me. And to many others. Football disease.

[Franco Harris: ‘Players in my day would have dealt with anthem protesters.‘]

I’m sad to see football go. As crazy as that sounds, football is dead to me. Football is dead.

It’s time for the fans to administer last rites. Time for the fans to say, “get those sons of bitches off the field right now. Out. They’re FIRED!”

Or maybe the good players will deal with those anthem protesters. Like the old days.

 

 

Finally! A President Stands Tall

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They were dumbfounded.

Those United Nations stuffed shirts were dumbfounded. Struck dumb. Silenced. Shocked. Floored.

Those sissy diplomats were shaken. Appalled. Frightened.

Never in the sordid history of the United Nations has an American president spoken in unvarnished truth in unvarnished terms.

Trump has the best words.

Trump used his best words today.

The best of the best.

Trump called Kim Jung Un “Rocket Man.” The funniest and most effective linguistic kill-shot to date. A Twitter line. And Trump pulled it off at the United bygod Nations.

[Scott Adams can’t stop laughing about Rocket Man tweet!]

They were shocked.

But it gets better. Rocket Man came AFTER Trump promised to completely destroy North Korea!

About damn time a US President warned the world one of its nations might go away. Like Atlantis. Poof! Gone. Adios.

Read our president’s best words:

The United States has great strength and patience,, but if it is forced to de fend itself or its allies,, we will have no choice but to totally destroy North Korea.. Rocket man is on a suicide mission for himself and for his regime…

Boom! If only Reagan had spoken so bluntly to the UN. Folks, I’m 53 years old. I’ve hated the United Nations since the 1970s. I’ve prayed for a president who would finally reign in that rogue, globalist disaster.

Beautiful. Beautiful words. Beautiful speech. Wonderful.

Our president also got the UN socialists to applaud his takedown of socialism. Huge!

The problem in Venezuela is not that socialism has been poorly implemented, but that socialism has been faithfully implemented.. [ Applause ]

From the soviet union to Cuba to Venezuela, wherever true socialism or communism has been adopted, it has delivered anguish and devastation and failure. Those who preach the tenants of these discredited ideologies, only contribute to the continued suffering of the people who live under these cruel systems.

Awesome. Ronald Reagan never tore down socialism more eloquently. And Trump spoke those words to the body that fosters and promotes socialism around the world. The wicked United Nations.

If that’s all Trump had said, he’d have said more than any US president ever said to the United Nations. But Trump said so much more. And all of it 100% pharmaceutical grade brilliance. Like this:

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/910219338044657664

I have never loved a president as much as I love President Trump. Love him. Not ashamed to say it. I love my president.

Now, this.

Chuck and Nancy and Donald and Mitch and Paul

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You can almost see it in your mind if you try. The cartons of Chinese takeout. The torn blisters of soy sauce. Nancy Pelosi, former swimsuit model, laughing at The Donald’s off-color jokes. About Mitch McConnell. Or Paul Ryan. While Chuck fills color of his own, about deals he helped The Donald put together back in New York. Stuff that didn’t make it into The Art of the Deal or The Art of the Comeback.

If you can imagine that White House scene, you can imagine another scene. In a dark, oak-paneled Washington bar. Old Ebbitt Grill. In a back room, away from prying eyes sit Mitch and Paul. Scowling. Wondering. Plotting. Plotting how to get back at The Donald. Get back at The Donald for cutting deals with the Democrats. With those Democrats. The worst Democrats. “The very Democrats who want our jobs!” croaks Mitch.

Paul examines is shrimp and steak, mixing some food around with his gigantic fork, the kind of fork you expect to get in a dark, old, oak-paneled bar in Washington, DC. “You were right, Mitch,” Paul says without looking up. “He just doesn’t understand how Washington works.”

The Dealmaker

Back in 2015 while I was still trying to understand why my otherwise reasonable friends were falling in love with Trump, I asked a lot of questions. Actually, I ask only one question. But I asked a lot of people. And I asked some of them more than once. “Why Trump?”

The most common answer: “he doesn’t need the job.”

The second most common: “he knows how to make a deal.”

The third most common: “he tells it how it is.”

Remember when Trump cut the deal for Harvey relief with Chuck and Nancy? I wrote in “The Strategy That Dare Not Speak Its Name“:

By now you’ve heard that President Trump struck a deal with Nancy Pelosi and Chuck Schumer. Trump struck a deal to raise the debt ceiling. Trump struck a deal by going around Congressional Republicans. Trump struck a deal with Democrats.

That was before his dinner with Chuck and Nancy. The dinner about DACA. I predicted that the Harvey deal was only the first. I had no idea the second would come so soon. But soon it did.

Speed shocks.

I attended an acting workshop at Washington University in 1981. One of the classes was about timing. The instructor used as an example a duel in the old west.

He asked for a student volunteer to play one of the duelers. The student was not to shoot first. He played the scene three ways.

  • First, he waited about 10 seconds, then he shot the student with his finger, yelling “bang.” This was drama.
  • Next, he waited about 30 seconds. He never shot, actually. Everybody laughed at the ridiculousness of the duelers staring at each other for so long. This was comedy.
  • In the third treatment, as the student was about to count his last pace, the instructor spun around yelled “bang.” Everyone was shocked. A few people gasped. This was terror.

By moving so quickly to strike a second deal with Democrats, Trump terrorized the GOP establishment (GOPe). Terrorized. And for good reason: the GOP establishment is replaceable. Replaceable, not with Tea Party or Freedom Caucus types, but with Democrats.

The whole GOP establishment in Congress knows it’s expendable.  And Mitch and Paul are coming to realize their threat will not come from the far right or the far left. Their threat will come from their base: the middle.

Power Is Perception

The Freedom Caucus lacks the numbers to take down the Speaker. And the small number of ideological conservatives in the Senate have no power to influence the majority leader. As long as Paul and Mitch have the GOPe on their sides, they’re safe.

The GOPe in Congress has a single, unifying mission: to raise enough money to win re-election. Or to move up to higher office. That’s it.

Normally, a president of your party makes your re-election safer. The president will help you raise money. The president will help you look good. The president will encourage the right votes for you to show your constituents “I’m one of you, and I keep my promises.”

But what happens when the president makes deals with the other party? What happens when he ignores your Congressional leaders and works with the opposition’s leaders?

If you’re a rank-and-file “happy to be here” Republican go-along-to-get-along type, you panic. You panic because you realize the leaders you elected have no power. No power to influence the president. No power to help your re-election. No power to reward your donors.

And what happens when go-along-to-get-along (GATGA) Congressmen see their re-election threatened? They move to where the power is.

Deals Are Powerful

Right now, the power in Washington resides in three people: Donald, Chuck, and Nancy. The GATGA in the GOP are poring over polls this weekend. Polls that tell them whether Trump’s base is okay with The Donald’s deals. Polls that will determine the GATGA’s next move.

If the polls show Trump’s base abandoning him, GATGA will double-down on Mitch and Paul.

But if those polls show Trump’s base holding firm, GATGA will rush to join the Donald, Chuck, and Nancy show.

You’ll know which way things are going by last this week.

GATGA types won’t overthrow their leadership. Not unless it’s an extreme case. More likely, they’ll call a caucus meeting. A meeting of GOPe and GATGAs. No conservatives.

At that caucus meeting, the GATGAs will give Paul and Mitch sobering news: “do whatever it takes, but we want to have Chinese food with the president. And Chuck and Nancy.”

I said I’d be okay with Trump switching parties. I’d still support him. I think he’s smarter and more determined that all the GOPe and GATGA combined.

Trump is okay with looking like a fool. In the short term. While you’re mocking his stupid tweet, though, he’s onto his next move. Trump is always a step ahead.

Trump is onto his next move now. I don’t know what it is, and neither do you. Nor does Ann Coulter. But Trump’s already on it. Just waiting for the GATGA to join him. As soon as they see those polls.

If you’re wondering what those polls will show, think about the reasons my friends supported Trump. He doesn’t need the job. He knows how to make a deal. And he tells it like it is.

Which is why Trump said in 2015 that he could shoot somebody on Fifth Avenue and none of his supporters would leave him. Love him, in fact.

He was right.